Reassessing the evidence of an emerging yen block in North and Southeast Asia

Colm Kearney and Cal Muckley

Received 13 March 2003;  revised 13 September 2004;  accepted 12 November 2004.  Available online 2 May 2005.

 

Abstract

Using weekly observations on 9 Asian currencies from November 1976 to December 2003, we re-examine the evidence of an emerging yen block in North and Southeast Asia. In contrast to previous research that assumes instantaneous adjustment of exchange rates by the region's Central Banks to variations in the world's main global currencies, we use a dynamic general-to-specific Newey–West estimation strategy that allows gradual adjustment and calculation of both short and long run equilibrium responses. We find that there is no de facto yen block, but although the US dollar remains dominant throughout the region, the yen's influence is rising amongst a subset of the currencies since the early 1990s.

Keywords: Exchange rates; Exchange rate systems; Yen block

JEL classification codes: 110203; 110211